It is true, and even some futurists forget, that not all change is radical or fast or even noticeable. Sometimes change will be entirely predictable. But we also know that sometimes, indeed, it will be radical, fast, and very noticeable, and the difference between those two states, and in the choatic interstice between them, is [...]

One of the things that we keep at the forefront of all of our government work is that policy making is about the future. Good policy is an attempt to bring about a particular vision of a particular future. For that reason, its development benefits from a strong, disciplined futures orientation, for instance: a recognition [...]

Futurists rarely talk about the impossible. Indeed, we spend much of our professional lives telling people nothing is impossible. When pushed, we’ll talk about probabilities and improbabilities, but we just can’t commit to impossible. With one exception: it is impossible to know the future. Instead, like quantum physicists, we imagine a cloud of potential futures. [...]

A recent mid-day radio program here in Washington DC had a couple of very well-informed, well-educated, and articulate commentators talking about the green economy. One, at some point early in the hour went out of her way to say something along the lines of ‘that [something] is a trend…well no, I don’t mean trend as [...]